Friendlies 1

Mar 28, 2023 at 6pm UK

Azadi Stadium

Iran
2 - 1
Kenya

Mohebi (76'), Rezaeian (84')
Cheshmi (56'), Asadi (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Olunga (51')
Matasi (66'), Onyango (83')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Iran and Kenya.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iran

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Iran 1-1 Russia
Thursday, March 23 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	3	7	7
2	USA	3	1	5
3	Iran	3	-3	3
4	Wales	3	-5	1

Kenya

Last Game: Kenya 2-1 Rwanda
Monday, November 15 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Algeria	3	6	9
2	Senegal	3	4	6
3	Kenya	3	-4	3
4	Tanzania	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 74.54%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Kenya had a probability of 8.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.18%) and 3-0 (11.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for a Kenya win it was 0-1 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.

Result
Iran	Draw	Kenya
74.54% ( -0.01)	17.26% ( 0)	8.2% ( 0)

Both teams to score 37.98% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.27% (

-0.01)

48.73% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.16% (

-0.01)

70.83% (

0.01)

Iran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.53% (

-0.01)

11.47% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.7% (

-0.01)

36.3% (

0.01)

Kenya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.9% (

-0)

57.1% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.9% (

-0)

89.1% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Iran 74.53%

Kenya 8.2%

Draw 17.26%

Iran	Draw	Kenya
2-0 @ 15.35% 1-0 @ 14.18% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 11.08% 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.21% ( -0) 4-0 @ 6% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.36% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.6% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0) 6-0 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 74.53%	1-1 @ 7.95% ( 0) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( 0) 2-2 @ 2.41% Other @ 0.35% Total : 17.26%	0-1 @ 3.67% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.23% 0-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.28% Total : 8.2%