World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Nov 15, 2021 at 1pm UK
Kenya2 - 1Rwanda
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 53.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Rwanda had a probability of 20.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Rwanda win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kenya would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kenya | Draw | Rwanda |
| 53.97% | 25.18% | 20.85% |
| Both teams to score 46.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
