MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 11:16:04| >> :60:46:46:
Iran national football team
International Friendly
Nov 10, 2022 at 4pm UK
Azadi Stadium
Nicaragua national football team

Iran
1 - 0
Nicaragua

Torabi (15')
Barzegar (49'), Sarlak (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Acevedo (16'), Medina (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's International Friendlies clash between Iran and Nicaragua, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iran

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Iran 1-1 Senegal
Tuesday, September 27 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1England000
2Wales000
3USA000
4Iran000

Nicaragua

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Nicaragua 0-1 Ghana
Tuesday, September 27 at 7pm in International Friendlies

We said: Iran 2-0 Nicaragua

 Even without some of their key players - such as Porto's Mehdi Taremi - at their disposal, we expect Iran to have far too much ability and motivation for their opponents on Thursday. Nicaragua are 122 places lower than Iran in FIFA's World Rankings, suggesting that they should be content with a narrow defeat in Tehran. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 58.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Nicaragua had a probability of 18.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Nicaragua win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Iran in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Iran.

Result
IranDrawNicaragua
58.52% (0.117 0.12) 23.16% (-0.023 -0.02) 18.32% (-0.093 -0.09)
Both teams to score 48.43% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.33% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)50.67% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.42% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)72.58% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.97% (0.027000000000001 0.03)17.03% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.83% (0.046999999999997 0.05)47.17% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Nicaragua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.37% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)41.63% (0.134 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.89% (-0.116 -0.12)78.11% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Iran 58.5%
    Nicaragua 18.32%
    Draw 23.15%
IranDrawNicaragua
1-0 @ 12.54% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 11.1% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 6.56% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.9% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.54% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.03% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.9% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 58.5%
1-1 @ 10.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.09% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 23.15%
0-1 @ 6.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.82% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.72% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 18.32%

How you voted: Iran vs Nicaragua

Iran
77.8%
Draw
0.0%
Nicaragua
22.2%
9
rhs 2.0
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