Both sides will be full of confidence and looking to build momentum with plenty of star men on show, and we see La Celeste's squad as slightly stronger all round and back them to triumph and continue an unbeaten run under the refreshing new management of Alonso. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Iran had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.37%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Iran win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Iran	Draw	Uruguay
33.92% ( -0.17)	22.77% ( 0.01)	43.3% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 65.47% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.61% (

-0.12)

35.39% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.58% (

-0.14)

57.42% (

0.13)

Iran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.81% (

-0.14)

21.18% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.94% (

-0.22)

54.06% (

0.22)

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.06% (

0.01)

16.93% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.99% (

0.02)

47.01% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Iran 33.92%

Uruguay 43.3%

Draw 22.77%

Iran	Draw	Uruguay
2-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.73% Total : 33.92%	1-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.77%	1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.79% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.41% Total : 43.3%