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Iran national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Jan 27, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Azadi Stadium, Tehran
Iraq national football team

Iran
1 - 0
Iraq

Taremi (48')
Khalilzadeh (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Abdul-Amir (35'), Resan (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iran and Iraq, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Iran 2-0 Iraq

While Iraq deserve respect for only losing twice in six matches in the third round, we simply cannot back against Iran. Defensively, they look a cut above the rest, and a professional performance will get the job done on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 63.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Iraq had a probability of 12.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.99%) and 2-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.82%), while for a Iraq win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Iran in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Iran.

Result
IranDrawIraq
63.18%24.47%12.35%
Both teams to score 33.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.97%64.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.8%83.2%
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.66%20.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.26%52.73%
Iraq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.85%58.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.33%89.67%
Score Analysis
    Iran 63.17%
    Iraq 12.35%
    Draw 24.46%
IranDrawIraq
1-0 @ 18.83%
2-0 @ 14.99%
2-1 @ 8.13%
3-0 @ 7.96%
3-1 @ 4.32%
4-0 @ 3.17%
4-1 @ 1.72%
3-2 @ 1.17%
5-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 63.17%
0-0 @ 11.82%
1-1 @ 10.21%
2-2 @ 2.21%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.46%
0-1 @ 6.41%
1-2 @ 2.77%
0-2 @ 1.74%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 12.35%

How you voted: Iran vs Iraq

Iran
85.1%
Draw
7.5%
Iraq
7.5%
67
Head to Head
Sep 7, 2021 7pm
Third Round
Iraq
0-3
Iran

Attwan (11'), Ibrahim Khalaf (39'), Hussein (50')
Jahanbakhsh (2'), Taremi (69'), Gholizadeh (90')
Ezatolahi (37'), Jahanbakhsh (63')
Jun 15, 2021 5.30pm
Second Round
Iran
1-0
Iraq
Azmoun (35')
Nourollahi (9'), Jahanbakhsh (41'), Moharrami (53'), Azmoun (77'), Taremi (81')

Tariq (12'), Natiq (47')
rhs 2.0
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