Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Lebanon had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Lebanon win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
