World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Jun 9, 2021 at 7am UK
Turkmenistan3 - 2Lebanon
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkmenistan win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Lebanon had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkmenistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Lebanon win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Turkmenistan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Turkmenistan | Draw | Lebanon |
| 40.96% | 25.93% | 33.11% |
| Both teams to score 53.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
