World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Sep 7, 2021 at 7pm UK

Iraq
0 - 3
Iran

Attwan (11'), Ibrahim Khalaf (39'), Hussein (50')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Jahanbakhsh (2'), Taremi (69'), Gholizadeh (90')
Ezatolahi (37'), Jahanbakhsh (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iraq and Iran, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Iraq had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Iraq win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.

Result
Iraq	Draw	Iran
33.77%	25.03%	41.2%

Both teams to score 57.14%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.75%

46.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.46%

68.54%

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.62%

26.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.46%

61.54%

Iran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.62%

22.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.12%

55.88%

Score Analysis

Iraq 33.77%

Iran 41.2%

Draw 25.03%

Iraq	Draw	Iran
1-0 @ 7.87% 2-1 @ 7.85% 2-0 @ 5.24% 3-1 @ 3.49% 3-2 @ 2.61% 3-0 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.24% Total : 33.77%	1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 5.91% 2-2 @ 5.87% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.03%	0-1 @ 8.84% 1-2 @ 8.82% 0-2 @ 6.62% 1-3 @ 4.4% 0-3 @ 3.3% 2-3 @ 2.93% 1-4 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.24% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.31% Total : 41.2%