Iran

3 - 1

Hong Kong

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 90.13%. A draw had a probability of 7% and a win for Hong Kong had a probability of 2.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10.68%) and 2-0 (10.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.27%), while for a Hong Kong win it was 1-2 (0.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.