Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 36.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.4%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Altrincham | Draw | York City |
36.77% ( -0.39) | 24.11% ( 0.24) | 39.12% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 61.02% ( -0.95) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.57% ( -1.22) | 41.43% ( 1.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.17% ( -1.25) | 63.83% ( 1.25) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.53% ( -0.75) | 22.47% ( 0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.98% ( -1.13) | 56.02% ( 1.14) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.71% ( -0.46) | 21.29% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.77% ( -0.71) | 54.23% ( 0.72) |
Score Analysis |
Altrincham | Draw | York City |
2-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.77% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.26) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.1% | 1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.3) 0-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 39.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
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