Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Fylde win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.
Result | ||
Fylde | Draw | Altrincham |
34.63% ( 0.41) | 24.15% ( 0.13) | 41.21% ( -0.55) |
Both teams to score 60.5% ( -0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.03% ( -0.55) | 41.96% ( 0.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.63% ( -0.55) | 64.37% ( 0.55) |
Fylde Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.13% ( -0.03) | 23.86% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.94% ( -0.03) | 58.05% ( 0.03) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.46% ( -0.48) | 20.53% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.95% ( -0.77) | 53.04% ( 0.76) |
Score Analysis |
Fylde | Draw | Altrincham |
2-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 34.63% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.15% | 1-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.64% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.88% Total : 41.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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