We said: Boston United 1-2 Fylde
In terms of form, there is not too much to separate these teams right now, yet we cannot ignore how Boston capitulated in the FA Cup last week. With that in mind, we are backing a narrow triumph for the away side.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Fylde win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fylde in this match.