Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Altrincham | Draw | Gateshead |
29.69% ( -0.96) | 23.27% ( 0.2) | 47.03% ( 0.77) |
Both teams to score 61.47% ( -1.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.24% ( -1.49) | 39.75% ( 1.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.89% ( -1.56) | 62.1% ( 1.56) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.24% ( -1.34) | 25.75% ( 1.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.31% ( -1.86) | 60.69% ( 1.86) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.8% ( -0.28) | 17.2% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.52% ( -0.5) | 47.48% ( 0.5) |
Score Analysis |
Altrincham | Draw | Gateshead |
2-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.42% Total : 29.69% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.3) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 9.31% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.46) 0-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.34) 1-3 @ 5.46% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.07) Other @ 4.06% Total : 47.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
> National League Full Table |