Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.49%) and 2-0 (5.5%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Altrincham | Draw | Gateshead |
41.13% ( -0.01) | 23.12% ( -0) | 35.75% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 64.63% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.32% ( 0.01) | 36.68% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.16% ( 0.01) | 58.84% ( -0.01) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.65% ( 0) | 18.35% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.53% ( 0) | 49.47% |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.16% ( 0.01) | 20.84% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.47% ( 0.02) | 53.53% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Altrincham | Draw | Gateshead |
2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.49% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.5% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.82% 3-0 @ 3.11% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-2 @ 1.62% 4-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.73% Total : 41.13% | 1-1 @ 10.17% 2-2 @ 6.76% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.83% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2% ( 0) Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.12% | 1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.7% 1-3 @ 4.17% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.53% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 35.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
> National League Full Table |