Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 37.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Gateshead |
37.35% ( -0.09) | 25.07% ( 0.03) | 37.57% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 57.51% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.02% ( -0.13) | 45.98% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.71% ( -0.12) | 68.29% ( 0.12) |
Ebbsfleet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.77% ( -0.11) | 24.22% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.43% ( -0.15) | 58.56% ( 0.15) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.89% ( -0.02) | 24.1% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.6% ( -0.03) | 58.4% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Gateshead |
2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.87% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 37.35% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.06% | 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.41% 2-4 @ 1% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 37.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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