Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 50.4%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
Result | ||
Gateshead | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
50.4% ( 0.17) | 22.93% ( 0.06) | 26.67% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 60.3% ( -0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.73% ( -0.45) | 40.26% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.36% ( -0.46) | 62.64% ( 0.46) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.85% ( -0.1) | 16.15% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.4% ( -0.19) | 45.59% ( 0.19) |
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.91% ( -0.39) | 28.09% ( 0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.24% ( -0.5) | 63.75% ( 0.5) |
Score Analysis |
Gateshead | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.53% Total : 50.4% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.64% Total : 26.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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