World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Nov 11, 2021 at 12pm UK
Lebanon1 - 2Iran
Saad (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 59.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Lebanon had a probability of 17.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.28%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Lebanon win it was 1-0 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lebanon | Draw | Iran |
| 17.72% | 22.88% | 59.4% |
| Both teams to score 48.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
