MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 09:28:29| >> :600:2046802:2046802:
Iran national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Mar 29, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Azadi Stadium, Tehran
Lebanon national football team

Iran
2 - 0
Lebanon

Azmoun (35'), Jahanbakhsh (72')
Ezatolahi (14')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kadouh (31'), Haidar (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iran and Lebanon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Iran 2-0 Lebanon
Tuesday, March 29 at 12.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: England vs. Iran
Monday, November 21 at 1pm in World Cup
Last Game: Iran 2-0 Lebanon
Tuesday, March 29 at 12.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Iran 2-0 Lebanon

Iran have several key players missing at the top end of the pitch but should still have enough to see off the threat of Lebanon. We are backing the hosts to claim all three points come the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 61.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Lebanon had a probability of 16.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.08%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Lebanon win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Iran in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Iran.

Result
IranDrawLebanon
61.21%22.65%16.14%
Both teams to score 45.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.01%51.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.27%73.72%
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.44%16.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.67%46.33%
Lebanon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.87%45.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.96%81.03%
Score Analysis
    Iran 61.2%
    Lebanon 16.14%
    Draw 22.65%
IranDrawLebanon
1-0 @ 13.43%
2-0 @ 12.08%
2-1 @ 9.61%
3-0 @ 7.24%
3-1 @ 5.76%
4-0 @ 3.26%
4-1 @ 2.59%
3-2 @ 2.29%
5-0 @ 1.17%
4-2 @ 1.03%
5-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 61.2%
1-1 @ 10.69%
0-0 @ 7.47%
2-2 @ 3.83%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 22.65%
0-1 @ 5.94%
1-2 @ 4.25%
0-2 @ 2.37%
1-3 @ 1.13%
2-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 16.14%

How you voted: Iran vs Lebanon

Iran
78.0%
Draw
16.0%
Lebanon
6.0%
50
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2021 12pm
Lebanon
1-2
Iran
Saad (37')
Azmoun (90+2'), Nourollahi (90+5')
Ghoddos (49'), Jahanbakhsh (51'), Mohammadi (85')
rhs 2.0
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