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Lebanon national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Feb 1, 2022 at 12pm UK
 
Iraq national football team

Lebanon
1 - 1
Iraq

Sabra (45+2')
Michel Melki (26'), Sabra (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hussein (40')
Jassem (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Lebanon and Iraq, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Lebanon 0-0 Iraq

Lebanon are well-structured and capable of holding teams for long periods of time, but we do not believe that they are able to possess the ball enough to create a sufficient amount of scoring opportunities and earn three points. Iraq may be a better side than their record currently indicates, however, a lack of quality and experience in the attack has plagued them in this current campaign, and we expect that trend to continue in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Lebanon had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Lebanon win was 1-0 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
LebanonDrawIraq
35.68%27.27%37.05%
Both teams to score 50.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.54%55.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.35%76.65%
Lebanon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.32%29.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.27%65.73%
Iraq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.16%28.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.3%64.7%
Score Analysis
    Lebanon 35.67%
    Iraq 37.05%
    Draw 27.26%
LebanonDrawIraq
1-0 @ 10.39%
2-1 @ 7.85%
2-0 @ 6.32%
3-1 @ 3.18%
3-0 @ 2.56%
3-2 @ 1.98%
4-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 35.67%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 8.56%
2-2 @ 4.88%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.26%
0-1 @ 10.64%
1-2 @ 8.04%
0-2 @ 6.62%
1-3 @ 3.33%
0-3 @ 2.74%
2-3 @ 2.02%
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 37.05%

How you voted: Lebanon vs Iraq

Lebanon
19.0%
Draw
59.5%
Iraq
21.4%
42
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2021 3.30pm
Third Round
Iraq
0-0
Lebanon
Attwan (6'), Resan (83'), Tariq (84')
rhs 2.0
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