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Lebanon national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Jan 27, 2022 at 12pm UK
 
South Korea national football team

Lebanon
0 - 1
South Korea


Oumari (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kyu-Sung (45+1')
Woo-young (36'), Young-gwon (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Lebanon and South Korea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Lebanon 0-2 South Korea

Even without two of their attacking stars, South Korea are a dangerous proposition, and we expect them to continue their fine run with another victory on Thursday. On the back of two confidence-building victories, and with a World Cup place in their sights, Bento's side will be tough to stop and should take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 51%. A win for Lebanon had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest Lebanon win was 1-0 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for South Korea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for South Korea.

Result
LebanonDrawSouth Korea
24.58%24.42%51%
Both teams to score 53.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.33%48.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.22%70.78%
Lebanon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.77%34.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.08%70.92%
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.91%19.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.3%50.69%
Score Analysis
    Lebanon 24.58%
    South Korea 50.99%
    Draw 24.41%
LebanonDrawSouth Korea
1-0 @ 7%
2-1 @ 6.22%
2-0 @ 3.76%
3-1 @ 2.22%
3-2 @ 1.84%
3-0 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 24.58%
1-1 @ 11.59%
0-0 @ 6.53%
2-2 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.41%
0-1 @ 10.81%
1-2 @ 9.61%
0-2 @ 8.96%
1-3 @ 5.3%
0-3 @ 4.95%
2-3 @ 2.84%
1-4 @ 2.2%
0-4 @ 2.05%
2-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 50.99%

How you voted: Lebanon vs South Korea

Lebanon
12.3%
Draw
7.0%
South Korea
80.7%
57
Head to Head
Sep 7, 2021 12pm
Third Round
South Korea
1-0
Lebanon

Maatouk (49'), Shour (56'), Al Zein (71')
Jun 13, 2021 7am
Second Round
South Korea
2-1
Lebanon
Song (50'), Heung-min (65' pen.)
Saad (12')
rhs 2.0
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