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World Cup
South Korea national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Mar 24, 2022 at 11am UK
 
Iran national football team

South Korea
2 - 0
Iran

Heung-min (45+2'), Young-gwon (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nourollahi (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between South Korea and Iran, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Korea

Last Six:
Last Game: South Korea 2-0 Chile
Monday, June 6 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: South Korea vs. Paraguay
Friday, June 10 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Iran

Last Six:
Last Game: Iran 2-0 Lebanon
Tuesday, March 29 at 12.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: England vs. Iran
Monday, November 21 at 1pm in World Cup

We said: South Korea 0-1 Iran

 This is bound to be a closely-contested match between the two most dominant teams in the group, with each aspiring to finish as the winners to gain as much momentum as possible. While South Korea do have the advantage of being at home, they typically struggle against Iran, who are in fine form, and that should lead to an away win by small margins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for South Korea had a probability of 37.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.33%) and 0-2 (5.18%). The likeliest South Korea win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
South KoreaDrawIran
37.93%23.21%38.86%
Both teams to score 64.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.1%36.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.92%59.08%
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.12%19.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48%51.99%
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.55%19.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.7%51.29%
Score Analysis
    South Korea 37.93%
    Iran 38.86%
    Draw 23.2%
South KoreaDrawIran
2-1 @ 8.26%
1-0 @ 6.25%
2-0 @ 5.05%
3-1 @ 4.45%
3-2 @ 3.64%
3-0 @ 2.72%
4-1 @ 1.8%
4-2 @ 1.47%
4-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 37.93%
1-1 @ 10.22%
2-2 @ 6.76%
0-0 @ 3.87%
3-3 @ 1.99%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.2%
1-2 @ 8.37%
0-1 @ 6.33%
0-2 @ 5.18%
1-3 @ 4.57%
2-3 @ 3.69%
0-3 @ 2.83%
1-4 @ 1.87%
2-4 @ 1.51%
0-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 38.86%

How you voted: South Korea vs Iran

South Korea
48.7%
Draw
19.3%
Iran
32.0%
150
Head to Head
Oct 12, 2021 2.30pm
Iran
1-1
South Korea
Jahanbakhsh (76')
Noorafkan (62'), Azmoun (80')
Heung-min (48')
Jun 11, 2019 12pm
South Korea
1-1
Iran
Eui-Jo (57')
In-Beom (76')
Young-Gwon (62' og.)
rhs 2.0
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