With the World Cup just around the corner, Senegal and Iran will be looking to get one over the other and continue their fine run of results. While both sides head into Tuesday in similar form, we are backing the Lions of Teranga to grind out a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Iran had a probability of 37.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.24%) and 0-2 (5.19%). The likeliest Iran win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Iran	Draw	Senegal
37.52% ( -18.62)	23.08% ( -0.07)	39.4% ( 18.69)

Both teams to score 65.02% (

12.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.74% (

11.18)

36.26% (

-11.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.62% (

11.27)

58.38% (

-11.28)

Iran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.21% (

-3.08)

19.79% (

3.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.14% (

-5.25)

51.85% (

5.24)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.07% (

18.22)

18.93% (

-18.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.56% (

23.5)

50.44% (

-23.5)

Score Analysis

Iran 37.52%

Senegal 39.4%

Draw 23.08%

Iran	Draw	Senegal
2-1 @ 8.18% ( -1.66) 1-0 @ 6.07% ( -5.03) 2-0 @ 4.92% ( -5.02) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( -1.45) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.77) 3-0 @ 2.65% ( -3.27) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.84) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -1.58) Other @ 3.25% Total : 37.52%	1-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.89) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( 1.94) 0-0 @ 3.75% ( -2.46) 3-3 @ 2.04% ( 1.08) Other @ 0.38% Total : 23.08%	1-2 @ 8.41% ( 2.96) 0-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.19% ( 2.15) 1-3 @ 4.66% ( 2.87) 2-3 @ 3.78% ( 2.17) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( 1.88) 1-4 @ 1.94% ( 1.5) 2-4 @ 1.57% ( 1.17) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.95) Other @ 3.54% Total : 39.4%