MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 10:38:31| >> :60:53:53:
Iran national football team
International Friendly
Sep 27, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Azadi Stadium
Senegal national football team

Iran
1 - 1
Senegal

Pouraliganji (55' og.)
Gueye (33')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Azmoun (64')
Ghoddos (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's International Friendlies clash between Iran and Senegal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iran

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Iran 1-0 Uruguay
Friday, September 23 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Senegal

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Bolivia 0-2 Senegal
Saturday, September 24 at 6pm in International Friendlies

We said: Iran 1-2 Senegal

 With the World Cup just around the corner, Senegal and Iran will be looking to get one over the other and continue their fine run of results. While both sides head into Tuesday in similar form, we are backing the Lions of Teranga to grind out a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Iran had a probability of 37.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.24%) and 0-2 (5.19%). The likeliest Iran win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
IranDrawSenegal
37.52% (-18.622 -18.62) 23.08% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07) 39.4% (18.687 18.69)
Both teams to score 65.02% (12.677 12.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.74% (11.181 11.18)36.26% (-11.185 -11.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.62% (11.272 11.27)58.38% (-11.276 -11.28)
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.21% (-3.084 -3.08)19.79% (3.08 3.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.14% (-5.247 -5.25)51.85% (5.243 5.24)
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.07% (18.219 18.22)18.93% (-18.223 -18.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.56% (23.498 23.5)50.44% (-23.503 -23.5)
Score Analysis
    Iran 37.52%
    Senegal 39.4%
    Draw 23.08%
IranDrawSenegal
2-1 @ 8.18% (-1.656 -1.66)
1-0 @ 6.07% (-5.031 -5.03)
2-0 @ 4.92% (-5.021 -5.02)
3-1 @ 4.42% (-1.449 -1.45)
3-2 @ 3.68% (0.771 0.77)
3-0 @ 2.65% (-3.272 -3.27)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.835 -0.84)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.19 0.19)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-1.575 -1.58)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 37.52%
1-1 @ 10.1% (-0.89 -0.89)
2-2 @ 6.81% (1.938 1.94)
0-0 @ 3.75% (-2.462 -2.46)
3-3 @ 2.04% (1.081 1.08)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 23.08%
1-2 @ 8.41% (2.962 2.96)
0-1 @ 6.24% (0.088 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.19% (2.146 2.15)
1-3 @ 4.66% (2.867 2.87)
2-3 @ 3.78% (2.17 2.17)
0-3 @ 2.88% (1.875 1.88)
1-4 @ 1.94% (1.496 1.5)
2-4 @ 1.57% (1.174 1.17)
0-4 @ 1.2% (0.949 0.95)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 39.4%

How you voted: Iran vs Senegal

Iran
43.0%
Draw
7.6%
Senegal
49.4%
79
rhs 2.0
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