We said: Iran 1-2 Senegal
With the World Cup just around the corner, Senegal and Iran will be looking to get one over the other and continue their fine run of results. While both sides head into Tuesday in similar form, we are backing the Lions of Teranga to grind out a slender victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Iran had a probability of 37.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.24%) and 0-2 (5.19%). The likeliest Iran win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.