MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 05:59:27| >> :600:3416661:3416661:
Wales national football team
World Cup | Group Stage
Nov 25, 2022 at 10am UK
Millennium Stadium
Iran national football team

Wales
0 - 2
Iran


Rodon (45+3')
Hennessey (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cheshmi (90+8'), Rezaeian (90+11')
Rezaeian (90+5'), Jahanbakhsh (90+5')

The Match

Match Report

Wales' hopes of a World Cup 2022 knockout spot suffer a major blow as Iran score two late goals to beat the 10-man Dragons 2-0 in Group B.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup clash between Wales and Iran, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Wales could line up for Friday's World Cup 2022 Group B clash with Iran.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup
Last Game: USA 1-1 Wales
Monday, November 21 at 7pm in World Cup
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1England143
2Wales101
3USA101
4Iran1-40
All competitions
World Cup
Last Game: England 6-2 Iran
Monday, November 21 at 1pm in World Cup
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1England143
2Wales101
3USA101
4Iran1-40

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Wales had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Wales win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.

Result
WalesDrawIran
29.64% (0.729 0.73) 27.11% (-0.102 -0.1) 43.25% (-0.619 -0.62)
Both teams to score 48.89% (0.681 0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.84% (0.687 0.69)56.16% (-0.68 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.79% (0.556 0.56)77.22% (-0.54900000000001 -0.55)
Wales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.84% (0.92299999999999 0.92)34.16% (-0.916 -0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.15% (0.978 0.98)70.85% (-0.971 -0.97)
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.74% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.33% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)60.67% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Wales 29.64%
    Iran 43.25%
    Draw 27.1%
WalesDrawIran
1-0 @ 9.44% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.88% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 5.07% (0.119 0.12)
3-1 @ 2.47% (0.117 0.12)
3-0 @ 1.82% (0.086 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 29.64%
1-1 @ 12.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.79% (-0.232 -0.23)
2-2 @ 4.67% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.1%
0-1 @ 11.93% (-0.32 -0.32)
1-2 @ 8.7% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.1% (-0.219 -0.22)
1-3 @ 3.94% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.66% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.048 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.24% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 43.25%

How you voted: Wales vs Iran

Wales
52.2%
Draw
30.3%
Iran
17.4%
1061
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!