MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 11:16:40| >> :120:62231:62231:
UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Belgium national football team
Nations League | League A
Sep 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Wales national football team

Belgium
2 - 1
Wales

De Bruyne (10'), Batshuayi (37')
Martinez (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Moore (50')
Mepham (49'), Ampadu (59'), Bale (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Belgium and Wales, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgium

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Poland 0-1 Belgium
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Wales

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Netherlands 3-2 Wales
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Belgium 2-0 Wales

 With these two teams extremely familiar with each other, we anticipate this fixture remaining competitive throughout the 90 minutes. Nevertheless, we cannot back against Belgium on familiar territory, Martinez's men potentially making sure of the three points during the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 54.85%. A win for Wales had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.96%) and 3-1 (6.64%). The likeliest Wales win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Belgium in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Belgium.

Result
BelgiumDrawWales
54.85% (0.108 0.11) 20.88% (-0.126 -0.13) 24.26% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 65.22% (0.503 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.3% (0.646 0.65)32.7% (-0.647 -0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.62% (0.744 0.74)54.38% (-0.745 -0.75)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.9% (0.242 0.24)12.1% (-0.242 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.35% (0.511 0.51)37.65% (-0.511 -0.51)
Wales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.19% (0.369 0.37)25.81% (-0.37 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.23% (0.497 0.5)60.77% (-0.498 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Belgium 54.85%
    Wales 24.26%
    Draw 20.88%
BelgiumDrawWales
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.96% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-1 @ 6.64% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.59% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-0 @ 4.9% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.5% (0.069 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.51% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.59% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.38% (0.058 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.48% (0.035 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.09% (0.015 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.07% (0.037 0.04)
5-2 @ 1% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 54.85%
1-1 @ 8.93% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-2 @ 6.39% (0.038 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.12% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-3 @ 2.03% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 20.88%
1-2 @ 6.05% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.23% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.88% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.86% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.73% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 24.26%

How you voted: Belgium vs Wales

Belgium
82.7%
Draw
11.4%
Wales
5.9%
289
Head to Head
Jun 11, 2022 7.45pm
League A4
Wales
1-1
Belgium
Johnson (86')
Rodon (55'), Norrington-Davies (68')
Tielemans (51')
Carrasco (45+1'), Theate (61')
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
Group E
Wales
1-1
Belgium
Moore (32')
Morrell (34'), Moore (80')
De Bruyne (12')
Hazard (71'), Saelemaekers (75'), Dendoncker (82')
Mar 24, 2021 7.45pm
Group E
Belgium
3-1
Wales
De Bruyne (22'), Hazard (28'), Lukaku (73' pen.)
Hazard (75')
Wilson (10')
Jul 1, 2016 8pm
Wales
3-1
Belgium
Williams (31'), Robson-Kanu (55'), Vokes (86')
Davies (5'), Chester (16'), Gunter (24'), Ramsey (75')
Nainggolan (13')
Fellaini (59'), Alderweireld (85')
> Match Report
Jun 12, 2015 7.45pm
Group B
Wales
1-0
Belgium
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!