MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:46:49| >> :120:71241:71241:
UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Poland national football team
Nations League | League A
Jun 1, 2022 at 5pm UK
National Stadium
Wales national football team

Poland
2 - 1
Wales

Kaminski (72'), Swiderski (85')
Bereszynski (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Williams (52')
Morrell (29'), Norrington-Davies (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Nations League clash between Poland and Wales, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

Last Six:
Last Game: Belgium 6-1 Poland
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Netherlands vs. Poland
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Wales

Last Six:
Last Game: Wales 1-2 Netherlands
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Wales vs. Belgium
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Poland 1-1 Wales

 Both teams will be determined to start their UEFA Nations League campaign with a victory, but we are predicting a tight affair on Wednesday evening. A draw would not be the worst result for either side, and we can see the pair sharing the spoils in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Wales had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.74%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Wales win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Poland in this match.

Result
PolandDrawWales
43.81% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 23% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 33.2% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Both teams to score 64.34% (-0.035000000000011 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.24% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)36.76% (0.041999999999994 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.08% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)58.93% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.72% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)17.28% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.38% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)47.63% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Wales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.79% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)22.22% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.36% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)55.64% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Poland 43.81%
    Wales 33.2%
    Draw 23%
PolandDrawWales
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 6.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.92% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.92% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.46%
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-2 @ 1.72% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 43.81%
1-1 @ 10.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.69% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 3.84% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.96% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23%
1-2 @ 7.63% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 5.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.36% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.18%
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 33.2%

How you voted: Poland vs Wales

Poland
60.4%
Draw
19.3%
Wales
20.3%
374
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!