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Wales national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Play-offs - Semi-finals
Mar 24, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Millennium Stadium
Austria national football team

Wales
2 - 1
Austria

Bale (25', 51')
Wilson (60'), Williams (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Davies (65' og.)
Baumgartner (24'), Lainer (88')

The Match

Match Report

Gareth Bale scores twice as Wales beat Austria to reach the final of the World Cup playoffs, setting up a game against Scotland or Ukraine.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Wales and Austria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Wales 1-2 Netherlands
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Wales vs. Belgium
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Six:
Last Game: Austria 1-2 Denmark
Monday, June 6 at 9.15pm in Nations League
Next Game: Austria vs. France
Friday, June 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Austria had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Austria win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wales in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Wales.

Result
WalesDrawAustria
40.7%26.99%32.31%
Both teams to score 50.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.15%54.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.85%76.15%
Wales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.52%26.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.33%61.67%
Austria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.43%31.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.03%67.97%
Score Analysis
    Wales 40.69%
    Austria 32.31%
    Draw 26.99%
WalesDrawAustria
1-0 @ 11.1%
2-1 @ 8.51%
2-0 @ 7.38%
3-1 @ 3.77%
3-0 @ 3.27%
3-2 @ 2.17%
4-1 @ 1.25%
4-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 40.69%
1-1 @ 12.8%
0-0 @ 8.36%
2-2 @ 4.91%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.99%
0-1 @ 9.64%
1-2 @ 7.38%
0-2 @ 5.56%
1-3 @ 2.84%
0-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 32.31%

How you voted: Wales vs Austria

Wales
71.4%
Draw
15.0%
Austria
13.7%
234
Head to Head
Mar 27, 2020 7.45pm
Sep 2, 2017 7.45pm
Group D
Wales
1-0
Austria
Woodburn (74')
Chester (25')

Prodl (25'), Baumgartlinger (84')
Oct 6, 2016 7.45pm
Group D
Austria
2-2
Wales
Arnautovic (28', 48')
Arnautovic (50'), Janko (92')
Allen (23'), Wimmer (45' og.)
Davies (60')
rhs 2.0
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