MX23RW : Tuesday, November 26 17:03:35| >> :60:208:208:
Bulgaria national football team
Friendlies 1
Sep 7, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stade Rene Gaillard
Iran national football team

Bulgaria
0 - 1
Iran


Nikolaev Krastev (8'), Iliev (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mohebi (14')
Moghanlou (68'), Pouraliganji (79'), Daneshgar (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Bulgaria and Iran, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Bulgaria 1-1 Serbia
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Iran 2-1 Kenya
Tuesday, March 28 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1England377
2USA315
3Iran3-33
4Wales3-51

We said: Bulgaria 0-2 Iran

Bulgaria might have the home advantage heading into this match, but Iran bring a stronger squad and the confidence behind their recent results should help them. The Persian Stars have impressed with recent performances, and that is something that should lead to them taking a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 47.62%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 26.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Iran in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Iran.

Result
BulgariaDrawIran
26.99% (-2.068 -2.07) 25.38% (-0.311 -0.31) 47.62% (2.38 2.38)
Both teams to score 52.41% (-0.468 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.21% (0.069000000000003 0.07)50.79% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.32% (0.061 0.06)72.68% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Bulgaria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.63% (-1.548 -1.55)33.37% (1.55 1.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30% (-1.736 -1.74)70% (1.737 1.74)
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66% (1.102 1.1)21.34% (-1.1 -1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.7% (1.671 1.67)54.3% (-1.669 -1.67)
Score Analysis
    Bulgaria 26.99%
    Iran 47.62%
    Draw 25.38%
BulgariaDrawIran
1-0 @ 7.82% (-0.361 -0.36)
2-1 @ 6.62% (-0.371 -0.37)
2-0 @ 4.29% (-0.392 -0.39)
3-1 @ 2.42% (-0.247 -0.25)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-0 @ 1.57% (-0.217 -0.22)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 26.99%
1-1 @ 12.07% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 7.12% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 10.99% (0.32 0.32)
1-2 @ 9.32% (0.194 0.19)
0-2 @ 8.5% (0.522 0.52)
1-3 @ 4.8% (0.252 0.25)
0-3 @ 4.37% (0.402 0.4)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.85% (0.155 0.16)
0-4 @ 1.69% (0.205 0.21)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 47.62%

How you voted: Bulgaria vs Iran

Bulgaria
13.3%
Draw
16.7%
Iran
70.0%
30
rhs 2.0
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