International Friendly
Nov 20, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade Josy Barthel
Luxembourg0 - 0Bulgaria
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Luxembourg 2-2 Hungary
Thursday, November 17 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Thursday, November 17 at 7pm in International Friendlies
| Current League C1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Faroe Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Luxembourg 1-1 Bulgaria
Both sides will enter this match in relatively good form, and we are expecting a close match on Sunday afternoon. There is a lot more experience in the Luxembourg squad, but Bulgaria also have plenty of quality, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw in this contest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 0-1 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Luxembourg | Draw | Bulgaria |
37.55% ( 0.33) | 27.67% ( 0.06) | 34.78% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 48.75% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.96% ( -0.24) | 57.04% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.07% ( -0.19) | 77.92% ( 0.19) |
| Luxembourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.69% ( 0.08) | 29.31% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.72% ( 0.1) | 65.28% ( -0.1) |
| Bulgaria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.97% ( -0.36) | 31.03% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.66% ( -0.43) | 67.34% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
Luxembourg 37.55%
Bulgaria 34.78%
Draw 27.66%
| Luxembourg | Draw | Bulgaria |
| 1-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 37.55% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.66% | 0-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.03% Total : 34.78% |
How you voted: Luxembourg vs Bulgaria
Luxembourg
39.4%Draw
42.4%Bulgaria
18.2%33
Head to Head
Form Guide
