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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Luxembourg national football team
Nations League | League C
Jun 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Turkey national football team

Luxembourg
0 - 2
Turkey


Barreiro (35')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Calhanoglu (37' pen.), Dursun (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Luxembourg and Turkey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luxembourg

Last Six:
Last Game: Faroe Islands 0-1 Luxembourg
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Turkey

Last Six:
Last Game: Lithuania 0-6 Turkey
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Luxembourg 0-2 Turkey

 Despite starting their Nations League campaign so excellently so far, Luxembourg are unlikely to pick up a third positive result when they welcome Turkey on Saturday. The step up in quality compared to their recent opponents should prove too much for the hosts, and if Turkey can put in another comprehensive display, they should stroll to a comfortable victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 52.87%. A win for Luxembourg had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Luxembourg win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Turkey in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Turkey.

Result
LuxembourgDrawTurkey
24.26% (-0.055 -0.05) 22.87% (-0.023 -0.02) 52.87% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
Both teams to score 57.99% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.81% (0.053000000000004 0.05)42.19% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.41% (0.052 0.05)64.59% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Luxembourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.01% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)30.98% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.71% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)67.29% (0.018999999999991 0.02)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.02% (0.043999999999997 0.04)15.98% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.72% (0.082999999999998 0.08)45.28% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Luxembourg 24.26%
    Turkey 52.87%
    Draw 22.86%
LuxembourgDrawTurkey
2-1 @ 6.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.8% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.4% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.33% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 24.26%
1-1 @ 10.63% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.86%
1-2 @ 9.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 9.08% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.33% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.96% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.09% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.49% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.33% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.6% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
1-5 @ 1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 52.87%

How you voted: Luxembourg vs Turkey

Luxembourg
13.6%
Draw
5.8%
Turkey
80.6%
103
rhs 2.0
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