Gibraltar

1 - 1

Bulgaria

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Gibraltar had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Gibraltar win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.