Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)

Bulgaria
1 - 1
Serbia

Despodov (47')
Petkov (42'), Rusev (62'), Dyulgerov (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lazovic (90+6')
Milenkovic (70'), Joveljic (81'), Pavlovic (88')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Bulgaria and Serbia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bulgaria

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Lithuania 1-1 Bulgaria
Saturday, June 17 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Serbia	2	4	6
2	Hungary	2	3	4
3	Montenegro	3	-1	4
4	Lithuania	2	-2	1
5	Bulgaria	3	-4	1

Serbia

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Serbia 3-2 Jordan
Friday, June 16 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Serbia	2	4	6
2	Hungary	2	3	4
3	Montenegro	3	-1	4
4	Lithuania	2	-2	1
5	Bulgaria	3	-4	1

We said: Bulgaria 1-2 Serbia

While Bulgaria might find the back of the net, Serbia's superior quality across the pitch and attacking firepower should give the Eagles an edge on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 1-0 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Bulgaria	Draw	Serbia
34.24% ( -9.69)	27.4% ( 5.7)	38.36% ( 4)

Both teams to score 49.49% (

-20.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.91% (

-26.25)

56.08% (

26.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.84% (

-26.17)

77.16% (

26.17)

Bulgaria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.09% (

-16.41)

30.91% (

16.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.8% (

-24.7)

67.2% (

24.7)

Serbia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.63% (

-9.99)

28.37% (

9.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.88% (

-14.6)

64.11% (

14.6)

Score Analysis

Bulgaria 34.23%

Serbia 38.35%

Draw 27.4%

Bulgaria	Draw	Serbia
1-0 @ 10.29% ( 5.14) 2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.8) 2-0 @ 6.05% ( 1.08) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( -2.44) 3-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.83) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( -2.71) Other @ 3.06% Total : 34.23%	1-1 @ 12.97% ( 4.25) 0-0 @ 8.77% ( 6.1) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -2.33) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.4%	0-1 @ 11.04% ( 6.53) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.79) 0-2 @ 6.96% ( 3.14) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.74) 0-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.76) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -2.01) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.68) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 38.35%