MX23RW : Monday, November 25 19:15:29| >> :600:3715003:3715003:
Bulgaria national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)
Serbia national football team

Bulgaria
1 - 1
Serbia

Despodov (47')
Petkov (42'), Rusev (62'), Dyulgerov (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lazovic (90+6')
Milenkovic (70'), Joveljic (81'), Pavlovic (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Bulgaria and Serbia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Lithuania 1-1 Bulgaria
Saturday, June 17 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Serbia 3-2 Jordan
Friday, June 16 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies

We said: Bulgaria 1-2 Serbia

While Bulgaria might find the back of the net, Serbia's superior quality across the pitch and attacking firepower should give the Eagles an edge on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 1-0 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
BulgariaDrawSerbia
34.24% (-9.69 -9.69) 27.4% (5.695 5.7) 38.36% (3.995 4)
Both teams to score 49.49% (-20.294 -20.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.91% (-26.25 -26.25)56.08% (26.252 26.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.84% (-26.167 -26.17)77.16% (26.169 26.17)
Bulgaria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.09% (-16.407 -16.41)30.91% (16.41 16.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.8% (-24.699 -24.7)67.2% (24.702 24.7)
Serbia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.63% (-9.989 -9.99)28.37% (9.99 9.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.88% (-14.598 -14.6)64.11% (14.599 14.6)
Score Analysis
    Bulgaria 34.23%
    Serbia 38.35%
    Draw 27.4%
BulgariaDrawSerbia
1-0 @ 10.29% (5.144 5.14)
2-1 @ 7.62% (-0.801 -0.8)
2-0 @ 6.05% (1.076 1.08)
3-1 @ 2.98% (-2.437 -2.44)
3-0 @ 2.37% (-0.833 -0.83)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-2.711 -2.71)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 34.23%
1-1 @ 12.97% (4.253 4.25)
0-0 @ 8.77% (6.104 6.1)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-2.332 -2.33)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.4%
0-1 @ 11.04% (6.527 6.53)
1-2 @ 8.17% (0.787 0.79)
0-2 @ 6.96% (3.135 3.14)
1-3 @ 3.43% (-0.737 -0.74)
0-3 @ 2.92% (0.764 0.76)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-2.011 -2.01)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.684 -0.68)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 38.35%

How you voted: Bulgaria vs Serbia

Bulgaria
12.6%
Draw
13.8%
Serbia
73.6%
87
rhs 2.0
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