Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 24, 2023 at 5pm UK

Bulgaria
0 - 1
Montenegro

FT(HT: 0-0)

Krstovic (70')
Savic (43')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Bulgaria and Montenegro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bulgaria

All competitions

Last Game: Luxembourg 0-0 Bulgaria
Sunday, November 20 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Current League C4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bulgaria	0	0	0
2	Georgia	0	0	0
3	North Macedonia	0	0	0
4	Gibraltar	0	0	0

Montenegro

All competitions

Last Game: Slovenia 1-0 Montenegro
Sunday, November 20 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bosnia-Herzegovina	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Finland	0	0	0
4	Romania	0	0	0

We said: Bulgaria 2-0 Montenegro

Given that Bulgaria have scored eight goals and conceded once across three wins and a draw since Krstajic's arrival, we expect the hosts to secure a comfortable victory over Montenegro, who have managed to win just one of their last seven outings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Montenegro had a probability of 36.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Montenegro win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Bulgaria	Draw	Montenegro
38.32% ( 0.05)	25.14% ( -0)	36.54% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 57.25% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.69% (

-0)

46.31% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.4% (

-0)

68.6% (

Bulgaria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.14% (

0.03)

23.85% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.96% (

0.04)

58.04% (

-0.04)

Montenegro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.18% (

-0.03)

24.82% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.59% (

-0.05)

59.4% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Bulgaria 38.33%

Montenegro 36.54%

Draw 25.13%

Bulgaria	Draw	Montenegro
1-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 38.33%	1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 5.92% 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.13%	0-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 1.84% Total : 36.54%