![Lithuania national football team Lithuania national football team](https://sm.imgix.net/21/12/litlog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 17, 2023 at 2pm UK
S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas
![Bulgaria national football team Bulgaria national football team](https://sm.imgix.net/21/12/bullog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Lithuania1 - 1Bulgaria
FT(HT: 1-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Lithuania 1-1 Bulgaria
It is hard separating both nations, whose inability to score consistently enough means they may play out a low-scoring encounter in Kaunas. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 57.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 18.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.3%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Lithuania win it was 1-0 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Lithuania | Draw | Bulgaria |
18.78% (![]() | 24.19% (![]() | 57.03% (![]() |
Both teams to score 46.25% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.99% (![]() | 54% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.55% (![]() | 75.44% (![]() |
Lithuania Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.95% (![]() | 43.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.67% (![]() | 79.33% (![]() |
Bulgaria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.2% (![]() | 18.79% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.79% (![]() | 50.21% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Lithuania 18.78%
Bulgaria 57.02%
Draw 24.18%
Lithuania | Draw | Bulgaria |
1-0 @ 6.82% (![]() 2-1 @ 4.8% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.35% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 1.8% Total : 18.78% | 1-1 @ 11.39% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.09% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.02% ( ![]() Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.18% | 0-1 @ 13.52% (![]() 0-2 @ 11.3% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.53% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.3% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.31% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.63% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 3.04% Total : 57.02% |
How you voted: Lithuania vs Bulgaria
Lithuania
21.2%Draw
34.8%Bulgaria
43.9%66
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-18 11:46:11
Tuesday, June 18
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Georgia
8pm
Group Stage
Portugal
vs.
Czech Republic
Wednesday, June 19
2pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Albania
5pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Switzerland
Thursday, June 20
2pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Serbia
5pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
England
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
2pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
France
Saturday, June 22
2pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Czech Republic
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Portugal
8pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Romania
Sunday, June 23
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Switzerland
vs.
Germany
Monday, June 24
8pm
Group Stage
Albania
vs.
Spain
8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Italy
Tuesday, June 25
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group A
vs.
2nd Group B
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group A
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group B
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group F
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | ![]() | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
2 | ![]() | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
3 | ![]() | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
4 | ![]() | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | ![]() | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
2 | ![]() | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
3 | ![]() | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
4 | ![]() | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
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