MX23RW : Monday, November 25 19:14:01| >> :60:866:866:
Greece national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 27, 2023 at 5pm UK
Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
Lithuania national football team

Greece
0 - 0
Lithuania

FT

Upstas (72'), Sirgedas (85'), Gineitis (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's friendly clash between Greece and Lithuania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Gibraltar 0-3 Greece
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Serbia 2-0 Lithuania
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Greece 2-0 Lithuania

With both managers expected to ring the changes, this could be perceived as a difficult match to call. However, there is currently far more togetherness and added quality in the Greece camp, leading us to predict a relatively comfortable win for the home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 80.5%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 6.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.28%) and 1-0 (11.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.34%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (2.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
GreeceDrawLithuania
80.5% (-3.55 -3.55) 13.42% (1.889 1.89) 6.08% (1.6639 1.66)
Both teams to score 39.91% (4.365 4.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.56% (-1.115 -1.12)39.44% (1.118 1.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.22% (-1.173 -1.17)61.78% (1.176 1.18)
Greece Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.31% (-0.997 -1)7.69% (1.001 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.59% (-2.631 -2.63)27.42% (2.634 2.63)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.23% (5.141 5.14)56.77% (-5.139 -5.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.09% (2.6881 2.69)88.91% (-2.684 -2.68)
Score Analysis
    Greece 80.49%
    Lithuania 6.08%
    Draw 13.42%
GreeceDrawLithuania
2-0 @ 14.36% (-0.78 -0.78)
3-0 @ 12.28% (-1.37 -1.37)
1-0 @ 11.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.13% (0.869 0.87)
4-0 @ 7.88% (-1.356 -1.36)
3-1 @ 6.95% (0.405 0.4)
4-1 @ 4.46% (0.032 0.03)
5-0 @ 4.04% (-0.954 -0.95)
5-1 @ 2.29% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.399 0.4)
6-0 @ 1.73% (-0.524 -0.52)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.201 0.2)
6-1 @ 0.98% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 80.49%
1-1 @ 6.34% (0.969 0.97)
0-0 @ 4.37% (0.224 0.22)
2-2 @ 2.3% (0.56 0.56)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 13.42%
0-1 @ 2.47% (0.486 0.49)
1-2 @ 1.8% (0.507 0.51)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 6.08%

How you voted: Greece vs Lithuania

Greece
78.0%
Draw
12.2%
Lithuania
9.8%
41
rhs 2.0
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3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd124441313016
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Ipswich TownIpswich121651323-109
19Crystal Palace121561017-78
20Southampton121110924-154


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