MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 10:59:15| >> :60:13:13:
Greece national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 27, 2023 at 5pm UK
Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
Lithuania national football team

Greece
0 - 0
Lithuania

FT

Upstas (72'), Sirgedas (85'), Gineitis (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's friendly clash between Greece and Lithuania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Gibraltar 0-3 Greece
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Serbia 2-0 Lithuania
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Greece 2-0 Lithuania

With both managers expected to ring the changes, this could be perceived as a difficult match to call. However, there is currently far more togetherness and added quality in the Greece camp, leading us to predict a relatively comfortable win for the home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 80.5%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 6.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.28%) and 1-0 (11.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.34%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (2.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
GreeceDrawLithuania
80.5% (-3.55 -3.55) 13.42% (1.889 1.89) 6.08% (1.6639 1.66)
Both teams to score 39.91% (4.365 4.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.56% (-1.115 -1.12)39.44% (1.118 1.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.22% (-1.173 -1.17)61.78% (1.176 1.18)
Greece Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.31% (-0.997 -1)7.69% (1.001 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.59% (-2.631 -2.63)27.42% (2.634 2.63)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.23% (5.141 5.14)56.77% (-5.139 -5.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.09% (2.6881 2.69)88.91% (-2.684 -2.68)
Score Analysis
    Greece 80.49%
    Lithuania 6.08%
    Draw 13.42%
GreeceDrawLithuania
2-0 @ 14.36% (-0.78 -0.78)
3-0 @ 12.28% (-1.37 -1.37)
1-0 @ 11.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.13% (0.869 0.87)
4-0 @ 7.88% (-1.356 -1.36)
3-1 @ 6.95% (0.405 0.4)
4-1 @ 4.46% (0.032 0.03)
5-0 @ 4.04% (-0.954 -0.95)
5-1 @ 2.29% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.399 0.4)
6-0 @ 1.73% (-0.524 -0.52)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.201 0.2)
6-1 @ 0.98% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 80.49%
1-1 @ 6.34% (0.969 0.97)
0-0 @ 4.37% (0.224 0.22)
2-2 @ 2.3% (0.56 0.56)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 13.42%
0-1 @ 2.47% (0.486 0.49)
1-2 @ 1.8% (0.507 0.51)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 6.08%

How you voted: Greece vs Lithuania

Greece
78.0%
Draw
12.2%
Lithuania
9.8%
41
rhs 2.0
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5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
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9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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