UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Sep 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Greece
3 - 1
N. Ireland

Pelkas (14'), Masouras (55'), Mantalos (80')
Mantalos (16')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lavery (18')
McCann (79'), Flanagan (84')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Greece and Northern Ireland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Greece

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Cyprus 1-0 Greece
Saturday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Northern Ireland	0	0	0
2	Greece	0	0	0
3	Cyprus	0	0	0
4	Kosovo	0	0	0

Northern Ireland

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: N. Ireland 2-1 Kosovo
Saturday, September 24 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League C2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Northern Ireland	0	0	0
2	Greece	0	0	0
3	Cyprus	0	0	0
4	Kosovo	0	0	0

We said: Greece 1-1 Northern Ireland

We expect N. Ireland to dig in and make life very difficult for Greece, who looked like a side going through the motions in their defeat to Cyprus at the weekend. A point is likely to be enough to see the visitors survive in League C, so Baraclough may set his team up to attempt to avoid defeat first and foremost. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 62.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 13.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.28%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.92%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greece would win this match.

Result
Greece	Draw	Northern Ireland
62.24% ( 0.07)	24.31% ( -0.06)	13.45% ( -0)

Both teams to score 36.03% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.1% (

0.19)

61.9% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.34% (

0.13)

81.66% (

-0.13)

Greece Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.15% (

0.1)

19.85% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.05% (

0.16)

51.95% (

-0.16)

Northern Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.95% (

0.1)

55.05% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.09% (

0.06)

87.91% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Greece 62.23%

Northern Ireland 13.45%

Draw 24.3%

Greece	Draw	Northern Ireland
1-0 @ 17.66% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 14.28% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.12% Total : 62.23%	0-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.08) 1-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 24.3%	0-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.95% ( -0) Other @ 1.83% Total : 13.45%