MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 13:41:42| >> :600:456144:456144:
Greece national football team
Nations League | League C
Sep 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Northern Ireland national football team

Greece
3 - 1
N. Ireland

Pelkas (14'), Masouras (55'), Mantalos (80')
Mantalos (16')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lavery (18')
McCann (79'), Flanagan (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Greece and Northern Ireland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Cyprus 1-0 Greece
Saturday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: N. Ireland 2-1 Kosovo
Saturday, September 24 at 5pm in Nations League

We said: Greece 1-1 Northern Ireland

We expect N. Ireland to dig in and make life very difficult for Greece, who looked like a side going through the motions in their defeat to Cyprus at the weekend. A point is likely to be enough to see the visitors survive in League C, so Baraclough may set his team up to attempt to avoid defeat first and foremost. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 62.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 13.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.28%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.92%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greece would win this match.

Result
GreeceDrawNorthern Ireland
62.24% (0.07 0.07) 24.31% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06) 13.45% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 36.03% (0.126 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.1% (0.185 0.19)61.9% (-0.18 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.34% (0.134 0.13)81.66% (-0.131 -0.13)
Greece Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.15% (0.101 0.1)19.85% (-0.096 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.05% (0.161 0.16)51.95% (-0.157 -0.16)
Northern Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.95% (0.104 0.1)55.05% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.09% (0.061999999999999 0.06)87.91% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Greece 62.23%
    Northern Ireland 13.45%
    Draw 24.3%
GreeceDrawNorthern Ireland
1-0 @ 17.66% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 14.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.7% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.6% (0.025 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.11% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.37% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.01% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 62.23%
0-0 @ 10.92% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-1 @ 10.54% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.55% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 24.3%
0-1 @ 6.52% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.15% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 13.45%

How you voted: Greece vs N. Ireland

Greece
63.9%
Draw
21.8%
Northern Ireland
14.3%
147
Head to Head
Jun 2, 2022 7.45pm
League C2
N. Ireland
0-1
Greece

Whyte (41'), McNair (90+6')
Bakasetas (39')
Tzavellas (84'), Mantalos (90+3')
Oct 8, 2015 7.45pm
Oct 14, 2014 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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