A closely-fought low-scoring contest is set to be on the cards on Thursday, and while the two nations will both fancy their chances of claiming all three points, we can see the spoils being shared on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Northern Ireland win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kosovo would win this match.

Result
Kosovo	Draw	Northern Ireland
41.41% ( 0.09)	25.25% ( 0.01)	33.34% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 56.27% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.67% (

-0.08)

47.33% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.45% (

-0.07)

69.55% (

0.07)

Kosovo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.26% (

0.01)

22.74% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.58% (

0.01)

56.42% (

-0.02)

Northern Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.83% (

-0.1)

27.17% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.42% (

-0.13)

62.58% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Kosovo 41.41%

Northern Ireland 33.34%

Draw 25.25%

Kosovo	Draw	Northern Ireland
1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 41.41%	1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.25%	0-1 @ 8.05% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 33.34%