World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Nov 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Windsor Park
N. Ireland1 - 0Lithuania
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northern Ireland win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for Lithuania had a probability of 25.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northern Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Lithuania win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Northern Ireland in this match.
| Result | ||
| Northern Ireland | Draw | Lithuania |
| 49.22% | 25.35% | 25.42% |
| Both teams to score 51.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
