World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Oct 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Bulgaria2 - 1N. Ireland
FT(HT: 0-1)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Northern Ireland win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bulgaria in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bulgaria | Draw | Northern Ireland |
| 40.59% | 24.32% | 35.1% |
| Both teams to score 60.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.36% | 42.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.95% | 65.05% |
| Bulgaria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.88% | 21.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.05% | 53.96% |
| Northern Ireland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.08% | 23.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.86% | 58.14% |
| Score Analysis |
Bulgaria 40.59%
Northern Ireland 35.1%
Draw 24.31%
| Bulgaria | Draw | Northern Ireland |
| 2-1 @ 8.74% 1-0 @ 7.86% 2-0 @ 6.11% 3-1 @ 4.53% 3-2 @ 3.24% 3-0 @ 3.17% 4-1 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.7% Total : 40.59% | 1-1 @ 11.23% 2-2 @ 6.25% 0-0 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.31% | 1-2 @ 8.04% 0-1 @ 7.23% 0-2 @ 5.17% 1-3 @ 3.83% 2-3 @ 2.98% 0-3 @ 2.46% 1-4 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.95% Total : 35.1% |
How you voted: Bulgaria vs N. Ireland
Bulgaria
37.2%Draw
37.2%Northern Ireland
25.6%78
Head to Head
Form Guide
