World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 19, 2023 at 1pm UK

Estadio Nacional do Zimpeto

Mozambique
0 - 2
Algeria

Domingues (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Chaibi (69'), Zerrouki (80')
Bensebaini (50'), El Amine Amoura (76')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Mozambique and Algeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mozambique

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Botswana 2-3 Mozambique
Thursday, November 16 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	0	0	0
2	Ghana	0	0	0
3	Egypt	0	0	0
4	Mozambique	0	0	0

Algeria

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Algeria 3-1 Somalia
Thursday, November 16 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Burkina Faso	0	0	0
2	Angola	0	0	0
3	Algeria	0	0	0
4	Mauritania	0	0	0

We said: Mozambique 1-4 Algeria

Despite not being at their best last time out, Algeria cruised to a routine win and will be confident of getting the job done this weekend. We can see the visitors running riot once again and coming away with maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 56.36%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 18.69%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.58%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Mozambique win it was 1-0 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.

Result
Mozambique	Draw	Algeria
18.69% ( -0.04)	24.95% ( 0)	56.36% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 44.06% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.14% (

-0.05)

56.86% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.22% (

-0.04)

77.78% (

0.04)

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.18% (

-0.08)

44.82% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.21% (

-0.06)

80.79% (

0.07)

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.85% (

-0)

20.15% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.57% (

-0.01)

52.43% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Mozambique 18.69%

Algeria 56.34%

Draw 24.95%

Mozambique	Draw	Algeria
1-0 @ 7.25% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 1.63% Total : 18.69%	1-1 @ 11.61% 0-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.58% Total : 24.95%	0-1 @ 14.46% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 11.58% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.3% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.19% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.97% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.48% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.99% ( -0) Other @ 3.39% Total : 56.34%