Mozambique

0 - 2

Algeria

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 56.36%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 18.69%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.58%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Mozambique win it was 1-0 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.