World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 16, 2023 at 1pm UK

Francistown Stadium

Botswana
2 - 3
Mozambique

Tlhalefang (74'), Ngele (85')
Velaphi (88'), Ditlhokwe (90'), Mangolo (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bauque (14'), Ratifo (52'), Muiomo (75')
Dove (82')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Botswana and Mozambique, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botswana

Last Game: Botswana 2-1 Eswatini
Monday, October 16 at 3pm in International Friendlies

Mozambique

All competitions

Last Game: Mozambique 2-3 Nigeria
Monday, October 16 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	0	0	0
2	Ghana	0	0	0
3	Egypt	0	0	0
4	Mozambique	0	0	0

We said: Botswana 1-1 Mozambique

There is little to choose between the sides heading into this one, and Thursday's game is firmly in the balance. We can see the sides matching each other over the course of the 90 minutes to settle for a share of the spoils in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botswana win with a probability of 40.08%. A draw had a probability of 31.2% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 28.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 2-1 (7.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.43%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Botswana	Draw	Mozambique
40.08% ( -0.08)	31.21% ( 0.01)	28.71% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 38.02% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

30.6% (

-0.01)

69.4% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.15% (

-0.01)

86.85% (

0.01)

Botswana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.88% (

-0.06)

34.12% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.19% (

-0.06)

70.81% (

0.06)

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.71% (

0.05)

42.29% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.31% (

0.04)

78.69% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Botswana 40.08%

Mozambique 28.7%

Draw 31.21%

Botswana	Draw	Mozambique
1-0 @ 15.51% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 40.08%	0-0 @ 14.43% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 13.35% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.09% Other @ 0.34% Total : 31.21%	0-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.65% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 28.7%