MX23RW : Tuesday, November 26 18:00:27| >> :600:690458:690458:
Tunisia national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2023 at 8pm UK
 
Botswana national football team

Tunisia
3 - 0
Botswana

Velaphi (60' og.), Msakni (82', 90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ditsele (16'), Cooper (59'), Mohutsiwa (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Tunisia and Botswana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Algeria 1-1 Tunisia
Tuesday, June 20 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Namibia 0-0 Botswana
Tuesday, July 11 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup

We said: Tunisia 2-0 Botswana

Tunisia are yet to concede in five straight home matches, and we expect that run to continue given Botswana's struggles in front of goal. We can also see the hosts cruising to a routine victory come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 14.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.9%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.3%), while for a Botswana win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tunisia would win this match.

Result
TunisiaDrawBotswana
60.65% (0.060000000000002 0.06) 25.04% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 14.31% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 36.22% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.2% (0.047999999999995 0.05)62.8% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.68% (0.033999999999999 0.03)82.32% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Tunisia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.17% (0.043000000000006 0.04)20.83% (-0.043000000000003 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.49% (0.068000000000005 0.07)53.51% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Botswana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.75% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)54.25% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)87.43% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Tunisia 60.64%
    Botswana 14.31%
    Draw 25.04%
TunisiaDrawBotswana
1-0 @ 17.72% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 13.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 7.27% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.45% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.85% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 60.64%
0-0 @ 11.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-1 @ 10.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.6%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 6.91% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 2.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 14.31%

How you voted: Tunisia vs Botswana

Tunisia
80.8%
Draw
15.4%
Botswana
3.8%
26
Head to Head
Jun 5, 2022 2pm
Group Stage
Botswana
0-0
Tunisia
Velaphi (18')
Sassi (51')
rhs 2.0
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