Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botswana win with a probability of 49.34%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 23.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.