World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 16, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stade Mustapha Tchaker
Algeria3 - 1Somalia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Egypt 1-1 Algeria
Monday, October 16 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Monday, October 16 at 5pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Burkina Faso | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Angola | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Algeria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Somalia 0-2 Sierra Leone
Tuesday, October 17 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, October 17 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies
We said: Algeria 4-0 Somalia
Algeria boast a vastly superior squad, and it is hard to envisage any other outcome than a win for them. We can see the hosts cruising to a comfortable win come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 95.29%. A draw had a probability of 4.3% and a win for Somalia had a probability of 0.42%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 3-0 with a probability of 19.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.43%) and 4-0 (16.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (3.05%), while for a Somalia win it was 0-1 (0.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Algeria | Draw | Somalia |
95.29% ( 0.01) | 4.29% ( -0) | 0.42% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 10% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.72% ( -0.02) | 32.28% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.11% ( -0.02) | 53.89% ( 0.02) |
| Algeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.59% ( 0) | 3.41% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 85.09% ( -0) | 14.91% ( 0.01) |
| Somalia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 10.35% ( -0.06) | 89.65% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 0.55% ( -0.01) | 99.45% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Algeria 95.27%
Somalia 0.42%
Draw 4.29%
| Algeria | Draw | Somalia |
| 3-0 @ 19.64% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 17.43% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 16.59% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 6.32% ( 0)7-0 @ 3.05% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)8-0 @ 1.29% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 95.27% | 0-0 @ 3.05% ( 0) 1-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 4.29% | Other @ 0.42% Total : 0.42% |
How you voted: Algeria vs Somalia
Algeria
61.3%Draw
6.5%Somalia
32.3%31
