MX23RW : Wednesday, November 6 01:32:15| >> :600:498546:498546:
Uganda national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 18, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stade Omnisport de Limbe
Algeria national football team

Uganda
1 - 2
Algeria

Bayo (88')
Byaruhanga (44')
FT(HT: 0-1)
El Amine Amoura (42', 66')
Mandrea (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Uganda and Algeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Congo DR 1-0 Uganda
Wednesday, June 14 at 4pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Niger 0-1 Algeria
Monday, March 27 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Uganda 0-2 Algeria

While Uganda will look to take the positives from their performance against DR Congo, they face a rampant Algeria side who are firing on all cylinders in the qualifiers. The Greens boast a significantly superior and more experienced squad and we anticipate them claiming all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 54.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Uganda had a probability of 18.56%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.99%) and 1-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Uganda win it was 1-0 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.

Result
UgandaDrawAlgeria
18.56% (0.382 0.38) 26.72% (0.111 0.11) 54.72% (-0.48999999999999 -0.49)
Both teams to score 39.54% (0.287 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.26% (0.058 0.06)62.74% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.72% (0.041 0.04)82.28% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Uganda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.52% (0.5 0.5)48.47% (-0.497 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.42% (0.358 0.36)83.58% (-0.355 -0.36)
Algeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.74% (-0.188 -0.19)23.26% (0.19 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.81% (-0.27500000000001 -0.28)57.19% (0.277 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Uganda 18.56%
    Algeria 54.71%
    Draw 26.71%
UgandaDrawAlgeria
1-0 @ 8.17% (0.099 0.1)
2-1 @ 4.31% (0.089 0.09)
2-0 @ 2.96% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 1.04% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 18.56%
1-1 @ 11.9% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 11.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.14% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 26.71%
0-1 @ 16.44% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-2 @ 11.99% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-2 @ 8.68% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.83% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-3 @ 4.22% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.13% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.54% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 54.71%

How you voted: Uganda vs Algeria

Uganda
21.9%
Draw
9.4%
Algeria
68.8%
32
Head to Head
Jun 4, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Algeria
2-0
Uganda
Mandi (28'), Belaili (80')
Bensebaini (25'), Ghezzal (31')

Aucho (23'), Mugabi (86')
rhs 2.0
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