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Africa Cup of Nations
Algeria national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 23, 2023 at 9pm UK
 
Niger national football team

Algeria
2 - 1
Niger

Alhassane (54' og.), Mahrez (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sosah (38')
Moumouni (78'), Tanja (82'), K. Djibo (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Algeria and Niger, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Algeria

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Algeria 0-0 Senegal (4-5 pen.)
Saturday, February 4 at 7.30pm in African Nations Championship

Niger

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Niger 0-1 Madagascar
Friday, February 3 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Ghana347
2Mali304
3Congo DR303
4Niger3-41

We said: Algeria 3-0 Niger

 With the quality they boast all over the pitch, Algeria are huge favourites to come away with all three points, and coupled with the added advantage of playing on home turf, we are backing them to get the job done in emphatic fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 89.33%. A draw had a probability of 8.5% and a win for Niger had a probability of 2.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (16.33%) and 4-0 (11.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (3.94%), while for a Niger win it was 0-1 (1.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.

Result
AlgeriaDrawNiger
89.33% (1.304 1.3) 8.48% (-1.0139 -1.01) 2.19% (-0.2839 -0.28)
Both teams to score 25.54% (0.356 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.73% (3.184 3.18)37.27% (-3.18 -3.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.52% (3.351 3.35)59.48% (-3.347 -3.35)
Algeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.61% (0.867 0.87)5.39% (-0.8619 -0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.86% (2.458 2.46)21.14% (-2.453 -2.45)
Niger Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
27% (0.131 0.13)73% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
4.03% (0.0431 0.04)95.97% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Algeria 89.31%
    Niger 2.19%
    Draw 8.48%
AlgeriaDrawNiger
2-0 @ 16.78% (-0.79 -0.79)
3-0 @ 16.33% (0.099999999999998 0.1)
4-0 @ 11.92% (0.68 0.68)
1-0 @ 11.49% (-1.19 -1.19)
5-0 @ 6.96% (0.729 0.73)
2-1 @ 5.28% (-0.216 -0.22)
3-1 @ 5.14% (0.061 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.75% (0.233 0.23)
6-0 @ 3.39% (0.509 0.51)
5-1 @ 2.19% (0.241 0.24)
7-0 @ 1.41% (0.274 0.27)
6-1 @ 1.07% (0.166 0.17)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 89.31%
0-0 @ 3.94% (-0.637 -0.64)
1-1 @ 3.62% (-0.35 -0.35)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 8.48%
0-1 @ 1.24% (-0.193 -0.19)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 2.19%

How you voted: Algeria vs Niger

Algeria
100%
Draw
0.0%
Niger
0.0%
23
Head to Head
Jan 31, 2023 4pm
Semi-Finals
Algeria
5-0
Niger
Abdellaoui (15'), Mahious (23', 34'), Katakore (45' og.), Bayazid (83')

Issaka Souley (37')
Oct 12, 2021 5pm
Second Round
Niger
0-4
Algeria

Oumarou (80')
Mahrez (20'), Mandi (33'), Bennacer (48'), Bounedjah (54')
Atal (45+1')
Oct 8, 2021 8pm
Second Round
Algeria
6-1
Niger
Mahrez (27', 60' pen.), Oumarou (47' og.), Souleymane (70' og.), Slimani (76', 88')
Zerrouki (31')
Sosah (50')
Adebayor (45+2')
rhs 2.0
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