Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 8, 2022 at 2pm UK

St. Mary's Stadium

Uganda
1 - 1
Niger

Karisa (43')
Bayo (67')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sabo (71')
Razak Seyni (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Uganda and Niger, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uganda

Last Six:

Last Game: Uganda 1-1 Niger
Wednesday, June 8 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Uganda vs. Tanzania
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Egypt	3	5	9
2	Uganda	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Zimbabwe	3	-5	1

Niger

Last Six:

Last Game: Uganda 1-1 Niger
Wednesday, June 8 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Algeria vs. Niger
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ghana	3	4	7
2	Mali	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Niger	3	-4	1

Both teams already have some catching up to do after failing to win their opening games, so we expect a keenly-contested affair in this one. We are also tipping the hosts to scrape a narrow win at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Niger had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Niger win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Uganda	Draw	Niger
41.36% ( 0.7)	26.57% ( 0.14)	32.08% ( -0.83)

Both teams to score 51.55% (

-0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.77% (

-0.79)

53.23% (

0.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.21% (

-0.67)

74.79% (

0.67)

Uganda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.61% (

0.01)

25.39% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.8% (

0.01)

60.2% (

-0.01)

Niger Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.1% (

-0.95)

30.9% (

0.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.81% (

-1.14)

67.19% (

1.14)

Score Analysis

Uganda 41.35%

Niger 32.08%

Draw 26.57%

Uganda	Draw	Niger
1-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.41% Total : 41.35%	1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.57%	0-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.03% Total : 32.08%