African Nations Championship | Semi-Finals

Jan 31, 2023 at 4pm UK

Algeria
5 - 0
Niger

Abdellaoui (15'), Mahious (23', 34'), Katakore (45' og.), Bayazid (83')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Issaka Souley (37')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's African Nations Championship clash between Algeria and Niger, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Algeria

All competitions

African Nations Championship

Last Game: Algeria 1-0 Ivory Coast
Friday, January 27 at 4pm in African Nations Championship

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Niger

All competitions

African Nations Championship

Last Game: Niger 2-0 Ghana
Saturday, January 28 at 7pm in African Nations Championship

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ghana	3	4	7
2	Mali	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Niger	3	-4	1

Both teams have been defensively near-impenetrable of late, so we are anticipating a nervy and cagey affair. That said, we are also backing Algeria to get the job done and continue their quest for glory on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 85.99%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Niger had a probability of 3.01%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 2-0 with a probability of 18.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (15.71%) and 1-0 (14.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (5.4%), while for a Niger win it was 0-1 (1.75%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.

Result
Algeria	Draw	Niger
85.99%	11%	3.01%

Both teams to score 25.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.83%

44.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.45%

66.54%

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.52%

7.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.15%

26.85%

Niger Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

27.7%

72.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

4.25%

95.75%

Score Analysis

Algeria 85.98%

Niger 3.01%

Draw 11%

Algeria	Draw	Niger
2-0 @ 18.17% 3-0 @ 15.71% 1-0 @ 14.01% 4-0 @ 10.19% 2-1 @ 5.9% 5-0 @ 5.29% 3-1 @ 5.1% 4-1 @ 3.31% 6-0 @ 2.29% 5-1 @ 1.72% Other @ 4.31% Total : 85.98%	0-0 @ 5.4% 1-1 @ 4.55% 2-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.09% Total : 11%	0-1 @ 1.75% Other @ 1.26% Total : 3.01%