African Nations Championship | Final

Feb 4, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Algeria
0 - 0
Senegal

Meziane (23'), Kendouci (75'), Mahious (108'), Eddine Mrezigue (111')

Sidibe (15'), Camara (23'), Sane (31'), Ngom (120')

Senegal win 5-4 on penalties

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's African Nations Championship clash between Algeria and Senegal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Algeria

All competitions

African Nations Championship

Last Game: Algeria 5-0 Niger
Tuesday, January 31 at 4pm in African Nations Championship

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Senegal

All competitions

African Nations Championship

Last Game: Senegal 1-0 Madagascar
Tuesday, January 31 at 7pm in African Nations Championship

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Netherlands	3	4	7
2	Senegal	3	1	6
3	Ecuador	3	1	4
4	Qatar	3	-6	0

Given the plethora of attacking talent on display, we are expecting an open contest with goals at both ends. That said, we just about fancy Algeria to emerge victorious and lift the CHAN trophy on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 46.4%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Senegal had a probability of 26.28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Senegal win it was 0-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Algeria	Draw	Senegal
46.4%	27.32%	26.28%

Both teams to score 46.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.47%

58.53%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.89%

79.1%

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.77%

25.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.02%

59.97%

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.84%

38.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.08%

74.91%

Score Analysis

Algeria 46.39%

Senegal 26.28%

Draw 27.31%

Algeria	Draw	Senegal
1-0 @ 13.25% 2-0 @ 9.13% 2-1 @ 8.8% 3-0 @ 4.19% 3-1 @ 4.04% 3-2 @ 1.95% 4-0 @ 1.44% 4-1 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.22% Total : 46.39%	1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 9.63% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.31%	0-1 @ 9.28% 1-2 @ 6.15% 0-2 @ 4.47% 1-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.44% 2-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.61% Total : 26.28%