African Nations Championship | Third-Place Playoff

Feb 3, 2023 at 7pm UK

Niger
0 - 1
Madagascar

Katakore (77'), Hainikoye (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Yves Razafindrakoto (89')
Andrininosy (54'), Rakotondrazaka (78')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's African Nations Championship clash between Niger and Madagascar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Niger

All competitions

African Nations Championship

Last Game: Algeria 5-0 Niger
Tuesday, January 31 at 4pm in African Nations Championship

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ghana	3	4	7
2	Mali	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Niger	3	-4	1

Madagascar

All competitions

African Nations Championship

Last Game: Senegal 1-0 Madagascar
Tuesday, January 31 at 7pm in African Nations Championship

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Madagascar	3	3	7
2	Nigeria	3	0	6
3	Guinea	3	1	4
4	Burundi	3	-4	0

Niger were on the receiving end of a demoralising loss last time out, so it remains to be seen how dampened their morale will be heading into this one. Mozambique, meanwhile, came away from their semi-final clash with their heads high, and we can see them carrying the day here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Niger win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Madagascar had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Niger win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.88%) and 2-1 (7.86%). The likeliest Madagascar win was 0-1 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Madagascar in this match.

Result
Niger	Draw	Madagascar
39.97%	29.18%	30.85%

Both teams to score 43.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.03%

62.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.56%

82.44%

Niger Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.19%

30.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.91%

67.08%

Madagascar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.1%

36.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.31%

73.69%

Score Analysis

Niger 39.96%

Madagascar 30.85%

Draw 29.17%

Niger	Draw	Madagascar
1-0 @ 13.38% 2-0 @ 7.88% 2-1 @ 7.86% 3-0 @ 3.09% 3-1 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 1.54% 4-0 @ 0.91% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.32% Total : 39.96%	1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 11.36% 2-2 @ 3.92% Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.17%	0-1 @ 11.33% 1-2 @ 6.65% 0-2 @ 5.65% 1-3 @ 2.21% 0-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.83% Total : 30.85%