MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 10:02:07| >> :60:495:495:
Madagascar national football team
African Nations Championship | Group Stage
Jan 15, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stade Municipal de Mahamasina
Ghana national football team

Madagascar
2 - 1
Ghana

Razafindranaivo (10'), Randriatsiferana (61')
Razafindrabe (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Agyapong (67')
Nsobila (9'), Yiadom (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's African Nations Championship clash between Madagascar and Ghana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Madagascar 1-2 South Africa
Friday, July 15 at 11am in COSAFA Cup
All competitions
Last Game: Ghana 0-2 Uruguay
Friday, December 2 at 3pm in World Cup

We said: Madagascar 1-3 Ghana

Ghana boast more experience at this level and are certainly huge favourites to come away with all three points here. We fancy them to emerge triumphant in a relatively comfortable manner at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 61.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 14.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.79%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Madagascar win it was 1-0 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
MadagascarDrawGhana
14.31% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 24.48% (-0.052 -0.05) 61.21% (0.061 0.06)
Both teams to score 37.45% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.89% (0.152 0.15)61.11% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.92% (0.114 0.11)81.07% (-0.114 -0.11)
Madagascar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.77% (0.079999999999998 0.08)53.22% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.21% (0.051 0.05)86.79% (-0.050999999999988 -0.05)
Ghana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.07% (0.085999999999999 0.09)19.93% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.92% (0.136 0.14)52.08% (-0.135 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Madagascar 14.31%
    Ghana 61.21%
    Draw 24.47%
MadagascarDrawGhana
1-0 @ 6.69% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-1 @ 3.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.11% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 14.31%
1-1 @ 10.79%
0-0 @ 10.6% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 2.74% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 24.47%
0-1 @ 17.11% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 13.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.7% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-3 @ 7.42% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.68% (0.021 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.99% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.89% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.01 0.01)
0-5 @ 0.97% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 61.21%

How you voted: Madagascar vs Ghana

Madagascar
13.0%
Draw
13.0%
Ghana
73.9%
23
Head to Head
Jun 1, 2022 8pm
Ghana
3-0
Madagascar
Kudus (53'), Afena-Gyan (56'), Bukari (86')
Amartey (90+1')

Mombris (65')
rhs 2.0
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